NOAA five-day forecast moves hurricane from Caribbean waters to Northeast by early Tuesday.
Long Island should cast a wary eye toward Hurricane Sandy.
105-mph storm currently churning in the Caribbean is expected to move
up the East Coast and make a left hook toward Long Island, according to
the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center.
The Thursday 8 a.m. update places the storm
just off the Bahamian coast. The forecast cone has Sandy off Atlantic
City, N.J. by 8 a.m. Tuesday with Long Island squarely in its probablity
on Wednesday, officials believed the storm could possibly just head out
to sea and leave Long Island unscathed. But the forecast has changed –
and heavy winds and rain, flooding, coastal erosion, and downed power
lines are possible.
does look like Long Island will have some impacts from this system,"
Peter Wichrowski, meteorologist at the National Weather Service office
in Upton, said Wednesday evening. "As for the exact details and how it
all evolves, it's still a big question mark."
rains and flooding that could cause beach erosion could impact the area
over the weekend and through Tuesday, according to David Stark,
meteorologist for the National Weather Service office in Upton.
official track has it moving northward across the Bahamas, and then,
eventually, it looks like it begins to turn toward the northeast out
over the western Atlantic," Wichrowski said. "At that point, the
official forecast does bring it back towards Long Island."
storm will run "well to the east of the mid-Atlantic, North Carolina
area" over the weekend, Wichrowski said. By Monday or Tuesday, it is
expected to make a turn toward Long Island, or just east of the area.
Wichrowski added, there are "a lot of different solutions and
scenarios" that could evolve. "This is a complex storm, and we're
talking a good five or six days away. At this point, I would say there
is definitely the potential for a significant storm approaching Long
Island or New England."
The storm, he added, would mean strong winds of between 30-50 mph or higher, heavy rainfall, and downed trees and power lines.
on Wednesday, Stark said whether or not the Long Island area would be
affected would ultimately depend on the eventual track and evolution of
Sandy as it interacts with a deepening upper level low pressure system
approaching the East Coast; experts at first said that the storm could
just move out to sea and have little impact on the area weather.
With Lisa Finn and Jason MolinetFor more stories like these, follow the Weather group!
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